Solana (SOL) Price Estimate September : Rise or Fall?
Datum: 10.10.2024
Like many other digital currencies, Solana (SOL) is facing challenges following Bitcoin’s recent dip to a two-month low as global markets are experiencing a wave of risk aversion. Since August 15, 2023, Solana (SOL) has dropped over 20%, going from $25.39 to a low of $19.29. The current value of SOL is at $20.30, and bearish trends continue to dominate the price movement. It’s also worth noting that Solana (SOL) has been on a downward trajectory since March 2022. Investors must remember that the repercussions of the 2022 crypto market crash, rising U.S. inflation, and interest rate hikes are still lingering in the market. So, what’s next for Solana (SOL) and what should we expect for September 2023? Today, CryptoChipy will explore price projections for SOL from both a technical and fundamental standpoint. Keep in mind that other considerations—such as your time frame, risk tolerance, and leverage—should also influence your investment decisions.

Solana’s Low Fee Design

Solana is one of the leading blockchains globally, designed to keep transaction fees extremely low for applications serving billions of users. The average transaction fee is around $0.00025, and Solana’s unique “Proof of History” (PoH) consensus mechanism allows it to process 50,000 transactions per second without sacrificing performance.

Like Ethereum, Solana also supports smart contracts, enabling developers to create decentralized applications (DApps) and deploy custom logic on the blockchain. The Solana ecosystem has witnessed growth in diverse applications, including decentralized exchanges, stablecoins, and NFT platforms. Notable projects within Solana include Serum (a decentralized exchange), Raydium (an automated market maker), and Mango Markets (a decentralized trading platform).

SOL, Solana’s native utility token, serves multiple purposes within the network, such as staking, paying transaction fees, participating in governance, and rewarding validators who maintain the network. While SOL was priced above $140 in March 2022, it has seen a significant decline since then.

The major selling pressure began following the collapse of FTX, as its founder Sam Bankman-Fried was a prominent investor and supporter of Solana. Consequently, the downfall of FTX impacted Solana more heavily than many other cryptocurrencies.

With SOL currently priced at $20.30, showing a 2.8% drop over the past 24 hours and a 5.2% decline over the last week, investors remain cautious. However, there’s some positive news as the Solana ecosystem has experienced growth in the NFT space.

Recent data from Step Data Insights reveals that Solana has outperformed major competitor Ethereum (ETH) in NFT sales volume, with Solana’s sales increasing by 20% in the last 24 hours compared to Ethereum’s 3.4% rise.

Solana and Shopify Collaboration

In another positive development, Solana has recently partnered with Shopify, enabling millions of businesses and customers to make digital asset transactions. Shopify, one of the world’s largest online marketplaces, has integrated Solana Pay, a payment protocol built on the Solana blockchain, into its platform.

This integration allows users to connect Solana-based crypto wallets, like Phantom, and settle payments on-chain with merchants who accept USDC.

While USDC, a popular stablecoin pegged to the dollar, is the first asset available for payments, the integration plans to add other cryptocurrencies, including Solana’s native token, SOL. Josh Fried, head of commerce business development at the Solana Foundation, stated:

“We selected a stablecoin for this integration because merchants and consumers are familiar with pricing in dollars. This simplifies the entry for both parties into cryptocurrency transactions.”

Despite this positive news, investors should remain cautious in the coming weeks. The cryptocurrency market continues to exhibit high volatility, making price predictions difficult. Concerns about an impending recession and macroeconomic uncertainty persist, as analysts predict that the U.S. central bank may maintain restrictive interest rates for an extended period. The effects of the 2022 crypto crash, inflation growth, and interest rate hikes are still impacting the market.

Technical Insights for Solana (SOL)

Since August 15, 2023, Solana (SOL) has dropped from $25.39 to $19.29, and it currently sits at $20.30. SOL may struggle to maintain its position above the $20 mark in the upcoming days, and breaking below this level could indicate a potential decline toward the $18 price range.

Key Support & Resistance Levels for Solana (SOL)

As observed on the chart from April 2023, the key support and resistance levels for Solana are crucial for traders to predict price movements. SOL remains under pressure, but if the price breaks through resistance at $24, the next target could be $25, followed by $26.

The current support level is at $20. If the price falls below this level, it would signal a “SELL” opportunity, opening the path toward $18. If the price drops below $18, which is a significant psychological support level, the next possible target is $15 or lower.

Factors Driving Solana (SOL) Price Growth

While the upside potential for Solana remains somewhat limited for September 2023, if the price breaks above the $24 resistance level, it could aim for $26. Traders should also keep in mind that Solana’s price is highly correlated with Bitcoin. If Bitcoin’s price rises above $30,000 again, we could see SOL trade at higher levels than its current value.

Potential Risks for Solana (SOL)

Several factors could contribute to a decline in Solana’s price, including market sentiment, regulatory changes, technological developments, and macroeconomic trends. The past two weeks have been unfavorable for SOL, and investors should remain cautious as the broader economic situation remains unpredictable.

If SOL breaks the $20 support level, it could fall to $18. A drop below $18 could signal further downside risk.

Inzichten van analisten en experts

The cryptocurrency market continues to face pressure, with Bitcoin recently dipping below $26,000. Analysts believe SOL might struggle to hold above current price levels.

Solana’s connection with Sam Bankman-Fried, the founder of the collapsed FTX exchange, continues to concern investors, despite the positive news of Shopify’s integration. Analysts recommend maintaining a defensive investment strategy while monitoring market sentiment, regulatory updates, and macroeconomic trends, which will all heavily influence SOL’s price.

Many analysts expect “market turbulence” as recession fears persist, and the U.S. central bank’s restrictive interest rate policies continue, which typically affects riskier assets like cryptocurrencies.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency is highly volatile and may not be suitable for all investors. Do not invest funds that you cannot afford to lose. The information provided on this site is intended for educational purposes and should not be considered as investment advice.